Which Interest Rate Should You Care About?

Which Interest Rate Should You Care About?

Watch out for interest rates. Not the short-term rates controlled by the Federal Reserve. Barring an unforeseen financial crisis, they’re not going anywhere, especially not after the jump in inflation reported by the government on Wednesday. Instead, pay attention to the 10-year Treasury yield, which has been bouncing around since …

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Hot Inflation Raises Stakes of Trump’s Tariffs

Hot Inflation Raises Stakes of Trump’s Tariffs

Hot inflation has raised the stakes of President Trump’s plans to escalate his use of tariffs on the country’s biggest trading partners, risking even higher consumer prices and pushing back the prospects of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates soon. New inflation data released this week showed price pressures intensifying. …

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Federal Debt Is Now Worrying Even Progressives

Federal Debt Is Now Worrying Even Progressives

The 119th Congress began, as it so often has in recent years, with calls from Republican politicians for wrestling down the national debt, which is near a record level relative to the size of the economy. But this time, the G.O.P. had company: Progressive economists and budget wonks, who have …

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The Fed Is About to Hit Pause on Rate Cuts. Here’s Why.

The Fed Is About to Hit Pause on Rate Cuts. Here’s Why.

At the Federal Reserve’s final gathering of 2024, Chair Jerome H. Powell announced that the U.S. central bank was embarking on a “new phase” in how it would set interest rates. The Fed planned to “move cautiously” with cuts going forward, Mr. Powell told reporters at the time, reflecting officials’ …

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How to Invest During a Presidency With a Deep Devotion to Profits

How to Invest During a Presidency With a Deep Devotion to Profits

“The chief business of the American people is business.” That declaration by Calvin Coolidge has been shortened and simplified since that Republican president uttered it before an assembly of newspaper editors a century ago. But the notion that the business of America is business was on conspicuous display at President …

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How the Debt Could Hamstring Trump’s Agenda

How the Debt Could Hamstring Trump’s Agenda

When House Republicans gathered behind closed doors on Capitol Hill last week to hash out their plans for cutting taxes, Representative David Schweikert, an Arizona Republican, sounded a note of caution. The United States’ fiscal problems were at risk of spiraling out of control, Mr. Schweikert told his colleagues. He …

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