The ACA health coverage subsidy lapse hit 22 million people. Here are some of their stories


Enhanced subsidies that helped millions of people afford health insurance on the Affordable Care Act marketplace expired at the end of 2025 — which has forced many people to make tough financial choices.

The enhanced subsidies, which had been in place since 2021, reduced insurance premiums for about 22 million people last year, or more than 90% of all ACA enrollees.

KFF, a nonpartisan health policy research group, estimates the lapse caused premiums to more than double for the average recipient in 2026.

The impact will likely extend far beyond households’ wallets: Political pundits have said the financial fallout could sway the outcome of the midterm elections in November.

Democrats in Congress have pushed to extend the enhanced subsidies. Most Republicans in Congress have so far said they’re opposed, even though health policy experts said the enhanced subsidies caused ACA enrollment to surge in red states. As of last year, 88% of enrollment growth in the ACA marketplace since 2020 — or 11.4 million out of 12.9 million new enrollees — occurred in states President Donald Trump won during the 2024 election, according to KFF.

In an emailed statement, White House spokesman Kush Desai said the number of consumers affected by the expiration of the enhanced premium subsidy was a relatively small share of the U.S. population.

“Instead of merely throwing more money at insurance companies as Democrats are clamoring for, President Trump is focused on delivering meaningful affordability for every American with his Great Healthcare Plan,” he said.

Policy experts describe the ACA marketplace as a last resort for people who can’t get insurance through other means, such as employer-sponsored coverage, or through Medicare or Medicaid, the federal health programs for seniors and lower earners, respectively.

About 7% of the total U.S. population gets health insurance via the ACA marketplace, according to the Pew Research Center.

Small business owners, gig workers, freelancers and early retirees are examples of those who turn to the ACA marketplace for insurance.

Now, many of those Americans must decide whether to pay higher premiums, downgrade their coverage or perhaps drop their health insurance altogether.

Here are three of their stories, which CNBC verified by reviewing documents including health insurance and tax records.

1. Paying three times more for ACA premiums

‘I have to have health insurance’

Living a leaner lifestyle

Dr. Vin Gupta on how the expiration of enhanced ACA subsidies will affect Americans

2. Downgrading ACA health plan

Deductible ‘skyrocketed’

For example, the average bronze plan has a nearly $7,500 annual deductible in 2026, according to KFF. The average across all ACA marketplace plans is $2,900, it found.

A deductible is the amount households pay toward in-network medical costs before the insurance starts paying for care.

Bivona and her husband pay $158 per month in premiums in 2026, slightly more than in 2025. However, their annual deductible for medical care is $15,000 — up sharply from last year, when the couple had a $0 deductible for medical care and $1,500 for prescriptions.

It “skyrocketed,” she said.

Bivona and her husband are relatively healthy and have their insurance mostly for “just in case” situations, she said. It would be hard for them to recover from a big medical bill, she said. They have a joint income of about $50,000 a year.

“If we have to go to the hospital or something, we’d be taking on debt for years to pay that off,” she said.

Early state-level data — in California and Pennsylvania, for example — suggests thousands of households have also chosen to downgrade to bronze plans, researchers at the Urban Institute, a left-leaning think tank, said in an e-mail.

In Pennsylvania, for example, around 33,000 more residents enrolled in bronze plans in 2026 compared with 2025, a 30% increase, according to the state’s health insurance marketplace.

In California, more than 564,000 people, or 29% of the state’s ACA enrollees, signed up for bronze plans in 2026, up from 23% of enrollees in 2025, according to state marketplace data. Meanwhile, the share of people who signed up for silver plans declined to 61% from 67% of enrollees.

‘Can’t get ahead’

“When you’re making a certain amount, you can’t get ahead ever,” she said. “There is a constant feeling of instability.”

Bivona said she loves her work and can’t imagine doing anything else. Even so, she and her husband have talked about trying to change jobs to get employer-sponsored insurance.

But the job market is a “total nightmare right now, so it almost even feels like that’s a risk, too, financially,” she said.

3. Dropping health insurance coverage

Falling off the ACA subsidy cliff

Dropping our health insurance was a significant decision for us. It was not something we took lightly.

The cliff had been in place since 2014, in the early days of the ACA, but disappeared when Congress expanded the pool of enrollees eligible for premium tax credits in 2021. It came back when the enhanced subsidies expired.

The cliff threshold varies depending on household size. For example, a family of three with an income over $106,600 is ineligible for subsidies this year.

Wright-Pierce’s household income exceeded this threshold in 2025, and she said she expects the same for this year — disqualifying them from a premium tax credit.

Their premium would have increased to about $1,000 a month out of pocket for the same health plan, she said — adding roughly $3,000 to their annual insurance premiums.

“There should never be a point in time where the cost of being able to go see a doctor rivals your rent, your mortgage,” Wright-Pierce said.

There were other considerations, too: For example, the couple’s insurance plan didn’t offer access to a large roster of physicians, Wright-Pierce said. Enrolling in a plan with a broader pool of in-network doctors, something the couple had been considering, would have cost between $1,600 and $2,000 per month, she said.

They still pay $231 per month for their son’s ACA coverage.

Wright-Pierce and her husband are healthy and don’t frequently visit the doctor, she said.

They plan to save the amount paid in premiums last year and set it aside each month in case medical issues arise, Wright-Pierce said.

“The amount of juggling we have to do to just have insurance is not rational,” she said. “More is possible for our country.”



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