Luana Lopes Lara, co-founder of Kalshi, spends all day thinking about probabilities. Coming out of an elite math degree background and positions at some of the most successful hedge funds in the world, a mindset focused on thinking clearly about potential outcomes comes naturally to her. But the youngest self-made …
U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore,) speaks during a press conference addressing a new policy that demands recipients of foreign military aid to follow international humanitarian law at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S., February 9, 2024. Nathan Howard | Reuters Payouts to unnamed bettors after the ouster of former Venezuelan …
Polymarket banner outside the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 7th, 2025. Kevin Stankiewicz | CNBC Prediction markets are booming, with monthly trading in the billions and a recent estimate from a consulting firm saying that the relatively new phenomenon could grow to $1 trillion by the end of the …
A resurgence in trade tensions between the U.S. and China squeezed some of the excess out of an enthusiastic market, something investors will keep a close eye on in the week ahead as earnings loom. The government shutdown is also stretching into a new week. Stocks sold off Friday, with …
Wall Street rediscovered its winning ways last week, thanks to some promising inflation data. Investors are now focusing on Donald Trump’s first week back in the White House and another bundle of earnings. It was no surprise to see relatively muted action last Monday and Tuesday, given markets were reeling …