Luana Lopes Lara, co-founder of Kalshi, spends all day thinking about probabilities. Coming out of an elite math degree background and positions at some of the most successful hedge funds in the world, a mindset focused on thinking clearly about potential outcomes comes naturally to her. But the youngest self-made …
U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore,) speaks during a press conference addressing a new policy that demands recipients of foreign military aid to follow international humanitarian law at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S., February 9, 2024. Nathan Howard | Reuters Payouts to unnamed bettors after the ouster of former Venezuelan …
Polymarket banner outside the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 7th, 2025. Kevin Stankiewicz | CNBC Prediction markets are booming, with monthly trading in the billions and a recent estimate from a consulting firm saying that the relatively new phenomenon could grow to $1 trillion by the end of the …
Could the rallying S & P 500 go for 10 in a row? The S & P 500 on Friday extended its winning streak to nine straight sessions. That incredible run, not seen for 20 years, wiped out all the losses since President Donald Trump announced his “reciprocal” tariffs on …
As investors say farewell to a week marked by a Federal Reserve meeting, surprise labor market data and the latest corporate earnings, they’re left trying to figure out what it all means for a stock market that’s still deciding where it wants to go. All three of the major market …