Luana Lopes Lara, co-founder of Kalshi, spends all day thinking about probabilities. Coming out of an elite math degree background and positions at some of the most successful hedge funds in the world, a mindset focused on thinking clearly about potential outcomes comes naturally to her. But the youngest self-made …
U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore,) speaks during a press conference addressing a new policy that demands recipients of foreign military aid to follow international humanitarian law at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S., February 9, 2024. Nathan Howard | Reuters Payouts to unnamed bettors after the ouster of former Venezuelan …
Polymarket banner outside the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 7th, 2025. Kevin Stankiewicz | CNBC Prediction markets are booming, with monthly trading in the billions and a recent estimate from a consulting firm saying that the relatively new phenomenon could grow to $1 trillion by the end of the …
As investors say farewell to a week marked by a Federal Reserve meeting, surprise labor market data and the latest corporate earnings, they’re left trying to figure out what it all means for a stock market that’s still deciding where it wants to go. All three of the major market …
