Moving back and forth from Tennessee to Alaska, Michael Rogers and his wife Christy have twice been stuck simultaneously paying a mortgage and rent. Once, in 2006, the situation dragged on for eight months, finally ending when they sold their house in Tennessee for $20,000 below what theyтАЩd paid for it.
Other adventures in homeownership ended well тАФ the couple doubled their money after selling a fixer-upper. Then later, with another property, they had to pay out $30,000 to fix a mudslide around their home, a mistake caused by the builder.
Two years ago, the Rogerses moved to Kingsport, in northeastern Tennessee, where they signed a lease on an apartment they thought would be a yearlong stopgap before buying again.
The couple just renewed their lease for a third year, and have decided to remain renters for good. Mr. Rogers, a construction manager, likes the convenience of being able to move when a job calls.
Either by choice or by being priced out of the market, many people have decided that renting forever is their best тАФ or only тАФ option. Housing costs and interest rates have risen in the last few years, and it can make financial sense to rent. (The Times has recently updated its popular rent-versus-buy calculator to help people understand the trade-offs.) In the 1960s, the median house price was a little over twice as much as the average income. ItтАЩs now nearly six times as much.
Home-ownership is a traditional strategy for long-term wealth building. For people who arenтАЩt planning to buy, creating a strong financial plan without building home equity requires a different mind-set.
Owning a home isnтАЩt a magic bullet to secure retirement. Mr. Rogers has seen how being тАЬhouse poorтАЭ has affected older family members, one of whom has three-quarters of her net worth tied up in her house. That situation leaves people with the option of borrowing against the equity in their home or selling the home to get at the value within it.
HeтАЩs focused on investing instead, preferring the liquidity and stability of the stock market.
тАЬIf youтАЩre buying something like a broad-based U.S. stock index, youтАЩre just kind of buying a slice of the entire U.S. economy,тАЭ Mr. Rogers said. тАЬWhen you buy a house, your risk is concentrated literally down to one house, in one neighborhood, in one state.тАЭ
Mr. Rogers has found that people tend to focus on home equity over other factors. He thinks that can be a mistake.
тАЬIn the current market, particularly in my area, rent looks like an absolute bargain compared to what houses are selling for now,тАЭ he said. тАЬThat allows me to really bump up my savings rate. People are like, тАШWell, youтАЩre not building equity.тАЩ Yeah, but IтАЩve got a 35 percent savings rate. IтАЩm building investment accounts much faster than I would ever build equity in the house.тАЭ
Choosing to Rent
As in any other market, predicting the future of rent charges is impossible. Rents could deflate as they did during the pandemic in New York City or balloon as they have in Amazon-inflated Seattle. Housing prices could crumble as they did during the Great Recession or explode as they have in San Francisco. The key is to have a plan that covers you in a variety of scenarios.
тАЬRenting can be a better financial decision; owning can be a better financial decision,тАЭ said Ramit Sethi, author of тАЬI Will Teach You to Be Rich.тАЭ тАЬToo often, we simply buy because our parents told us to, and their parents told them to.тАЭ
Though heтАЩs a millionaire, Mr. Sethi has rented for the last 20 years in cities like San Francisco, New York and Los Angeles. When he lived in Manhattan, he calculated that it would have cost him 2.2 times more per month to own than to rent. He emphasizes that your calculations have to include the phantom costs of mortgage interest, taxes and maintenance, which is often estimated at 1 to 3 percent of a homeтАЩs value. So he rented and focused on investing. HeтАЩs a fan of index funds, target date funds any long-term, low-cost investment.
тАЬIf you choose to rent, thereтАЩs one key thing that is the most important thing of all, which is you absolutely must run your numbers,тАЭ he said, тАЬand if itтАЩs cheaper to rent than to buy, you must invest the difference.тАЭ
He also negotiates his rent, which he said many people arenтАЩt aware is an option. He recommends that renters pay attention to comparable housing costs in their area. If they can find better deals, they should go in at renewal time with documentation. тАЬIt doesnтАЩt always work,тАЭ he said. тАЬWhen it does, itтАЩs a huge benefit.тАЭ
Over the last century, the S&P 500 has returned an average of about 7 percent a year, when adjusted for inflation. Mr. Sethi said most people have no idea what the stock market is returning. тАЬBut you need to know that number,тАЭ he said, тАЬbecause it tells you what your opportunity cost is тАФ in other words, how much you could be making if you just put money into the market.тАЭ
Planning your finances while renting also has an emotional element. Mr. Sethi said people shouldnтАЩt feel guilty if theyтАЩre renting.
тАЬRemember that there are literally millions of people in America who rent and invest the difference,тАЭ he said. тАЬYouтАЩre not some weirdo just because youтАЩre choosing to rent. I do it and plenty of other people do it.тАЭ
Running the numbers
тАЬI am constantly being asked why IтАЩm not buying a house,тАЭ said Miranda Marquit, who is in her mid-40s and living in Idaho Falls, Idaho. тАЬPeople think itтАЩs weird.тАЭ
Ms. Marquit earns between $10,000 and $12,000 each month and has been creating an investment portfolio for the last 25 years and multiple income streams for the last 15 years. If you want to start planning a successful financial life without homeownership, she suggests starting with retirement calculators at investor.gov.
тАЬWhen deciding how much IтАЩm going to invest each month, I take a very conservative approach and assume a 6 percent rate of return,тАЭ she said. тАЬI know a lot of people will say you should assume a much higher rate of return, especially if youтАЩre investing in stocks, but I like to err on the side of caution.тАЭ
YouтАЩll need to factor in how much rent is likely to increase over time (Ms. Marquit uses a 3 percent inflation-based estimate) to come up with the number of how much youтАЩre going to need in retirement.
тАЬFiguring out whether youтАЩre set for retirement is about running the numbers, whether you rent, have a mortgage or are building a rental empire,тАЭ she said. тАЬLook at what you want to do in retirement and estimate your monthly needs. Then figure out how youтАЩll meet those monthly needs.тАЭ
The Renting-Only Strategy
тАЬThis is very much my life,тАЭ said Berna Anat, who lives in the San Francisco Bay Area. тАЬI donтАЩt see home owning in my future.тАЭ
When someone says sheтАЩs throwing away money on renting, she thinks of friends who have homes. тАЬTheyтАЩre like, тАШOh, we canтАЩt go on vacation for two years, because termites have eaten the foundation of our bathroom,тАЩ or like, тАШYeah, we actually canтАЩt hang out this weekend because we are on our hands and knees tiling the grout of our decrepit sunroom,тАЩтАЭ she said. тАЬForever renting is very much a movement. ItтАЩs a lifestyle.тАЭ
It comes with a cost: the theoretical equity many plan as a stronghold of their retirement.
Ms. Anat, author of тАЬMoney Out Loud,тАЭ said replacing that home equity and living a renting lifestyle is about diversification and maximizing investments. If youтАЩre employed full-time, she said, youтАЩll want to be fully invested in your 401(K) and getting as much of an employer match as possible. Ms. Anat recommends opening up another fund as well, such as a Roth I.R.A.
тАЬThe idea is, if you are not spending on housing costs, closing costs, escrow, property taxesтАЭ and charges like homeownersтАЩ association fees, she said, тАЬthen you are investing all of that money so that your retirement is as cushy as possible, since you wonтАЩt have that equity.тАЭ
тАЬFor me, as a forever renter, I have all those things and IтАЩm investing as aggressively as possible,тАЭ she said.
In the short term, Ms. Anat said, you also need to plan for real-world volatility. Your rent could spike or your building could get sold. She recommends an emergency fund of at least six months and a spreadsheet detailing your plan if you lose housing.
тАЬIf you were to have to move out of your apartment tomorrow, what is the actual plan for your funds and your life?тАЭ she said. тАЬItтАЩs almost like those earthquake escape plan situations.тАЭ
Another consideration is your credit score: Keep it clean. Make your payments on time and try to keep the amount you owe low compared with your limit. The usual advice is to restrict your borrowing to 30 percent of your credit limit; Ms. Anat tries to stick to 10 to 15 percent.
Maintaining a strong credit score is critical, she said, because тАЬlandlords are looking at that, and youтАЩre more likely to have to shop the market again next month or next year and impress a landlord.тАЭ
You also need to protect yourself by understanding landlordтАЩs rights vs. renterтАЩs rights where you live, as it varies by city and state. Buy renterтАЩs insurance, which is usually affordable.
Overall, she said, you have to stabilize your life with as much financial backup as possible.
тАЬIt reminds me so much of being self-employed,тАЭ said Ms. Anat. тАЬBeing self-employed means that you have to make your own plan for health insurance. You have to D.I.Y. your plan for retirement. ItтАЩs a little bit more of getting into that mental mode.тАЭ
